2020-2021 INSIGHTS

New Norm, New Market: What's next for equities and oil prices?

As we approach the end of 2020, it has been nothing short of the extraordinary for financial markets. In the third quarter of 2020 alone, we've witnessed the S&P500 reaching new highs even as global Covid-19 cases tripled through the quarter, experienced a 51% year-on-year spike in M&A activity in September and observed Tesla's market capitalisation surpass that of Toyota, Audi, Honda, and General Motors combined. The question for investors is then what's next for equities? Our report takes a deep dive into indices and valuations to better understand the macro landscape for the final quarter of the year, in particular with the added impact of a US presidential election.

We also take a closer look at what to expect for crude oil prices, as the outlook for demand remains weak, especially with the summer driving season in the US ending in August and with the EU experiencing a resurgence of Covid-19 cases in multiple member countries. Are oil traders expecting the supply glut to worsen? Or is there room for an opportunistic trade in the short-term? Finally, we analyse forex majors and gold from a technical standpoint for a better micro-perspective on the currency market.

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Report Highlights

  • The shortest bear market in history has ended, but do stocks still have legs?
  • A Biden or Trump presidency and its repercussions on equity indices
  • Can oil continue to rise with suppressed demand and increasing supply?
  • Technical Analysis on FX Majors

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