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Trends & Analysis
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Which MA will rule the S&P 500?
News
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Asset Watch

Can Amazon create some holiday cheer?

 

Tuesday, October 11 2022, 10:55am GMT

After the U.S. unemployment rate dipped to 3.5% on Oct. 7, the S&P 500 reacted with disdain. Moreover, with a resilient U.S. labour market poised to embolden an already hawkish Fed, ‘good news is bad news’ for risk assets.

 

Yet, with Amazon’s “Prime Early Access Sale” starting on Oct. 11, consumers doing their holiday shopping earlier should help bolster the company’s fourth-quarter earnings. The promotion will include “80% off select Fire TV smart TVs and up to 50% off select JBL, Sony and Bose ear buds, speakers and headphones.” On top of that, a new deal will launch every 30 minutes.

 

Amazon’s solid fundamentals paired with a technical backdrop that’s relatively constructive, given the current environment, could mean further weakness may be a buying opportunity.

Source: TradingView

The February 2022 high places next-level support near $109, and Amazon rallied before reaching this milestone in September. Likewise, Amazon filled the gap from its bullish July earnings report, so give-back has already occurred.

 

However, Amazon’s next challenge is $126. The level is near the May 2020 and June 2022 highs. But if successful, Amazon could attempt to recapture $136, which hovers near the early-June highs, as well as the January and March 2022 lows and the September 2022 highs. Also, Amazon’s 200-day moving average is $136.04, which adds confirmation.

 

As a result, could Amazon help ignite a Santa Clause rally, or will the bears play the Grinch for the remainder of 2022?

 

Sources:

U.S. unemployment rate:

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/07/jobs-report-september-2022.html

 

Amazon October Prime sale:

https://press.aboutamazon.com/news-releases/news-release-details/amazons-new-prime-early-access-sale-kicks-october-11-12-offering

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/07/amazons-prime-early-access-sale-2022-here-are-the-best-deals.html

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CFDs and Spreadbets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of Retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs and Spread Bets with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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