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Trends & Analysis
News
Gold rises amid weakness in the US dollar
News
Crude oil declines after two days of gains
News
Walgreens shares spike on upbeat Q2 results
News
Higher highs for Hilton?
News
European stocks record gains after volatile week
News
US dollar records gains on positive economic data

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Asset Watch

Can Walmart protect you from the September swoon?

 

Friday, September 23 2022, 16:50pm

With seasonality firmly in the bearish camp, Sep. 20-30 is often the worst time to own S&P 500 stocks. Interest rates have also risen rapidly in recent days, making the bond market sell-off situation, worse. Plus, as the FOMC is poised to raise interest rates on Sep. 21, Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish or dovish disposition could go a long way in shaping short-term sentiment.
Trouble seemingly at every corner, could Walmart offer a solid risk-reward proposition regardless of how the drama unfolds?

Source : TradingView

Walmart closed above its rising support line drawn from the June lows on Sep. 20, so its three-month uptrend remains in place. Its August intraday high of $142.72 did not fill the gap from the May 17 earnings debacle. And as most gaps fill, Walmart should retrace those losses at some point. A move above $146 also aligns near Walmart’s November and December 2021 highs, as well as its January and March 2022 highs.

The playbook is as follows: if the S&P 500’s negativity persists, Walmart could outperform by holding or remaining close to its rising support line. On the other hand, if Powell’s press conference spurs bullish optimism, there is plenty of upside available for Walmart to fill its May gap.

Is Walmart the perfect place to hide, or should you wait until October to make your move?

 

Sources:

S&P 500 seasonality:

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CFDs and Spreadbets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of Retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs and Spread Bets with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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