Monday, July 30, 2018

GBP/USD - 31 July 2018


Fundamental Highlights

The Pound continues to hover around the 1.3100 level as the market awaits progress relating to the Brexit negotiations between Prime Minister May and the EU. The general trend for the currency remains bearish as the U.S continues to show robust economic strength and the Brexit negotiations show no signs of a secure and comfortable EU exit. For today, investors need to focus on the U.S PCE Deflator and the U.S Consumer Confidence numbers.

Technical Analysis

The Sterling continues to point lower after last week's 0.618 Fibonacci retracement rejection. The 0.618 retracement also coincides with a key price action resistance level which made it more difficult for the pair to break above this level. The general trend has now shifted towards a downtrend as the pair remains below the 200-period moving average. A break below the 1.30819 support level will pave the way for a drop towards the next support level at 1.30507. However, a successful break above the 50-period moving average and the 1.31622 level will pave the way for a rise back towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.

Support: 1.30819 1.30507
Resistance: 1.31622 1.32159

Chart (H4)