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Asset Watch
Tuesday, September 13 2022
While the good times may last for another week or so, seasonality shows that the S&P 500 often peaks in mid-September before declining sharply into the end of the month. Likewise, the U.S. mid-term elections occur in November. Bank of America found that September is the S&P 500’s worst month, with an average decline of 1.14%. Additionally, 47.8% of historical Septembers were positive, which is the second lowest, only behind June’s 43.5%.
As a result, while the technical backdrop is short-term bullish, the risk of a reversal increases substantially after this week. So, should you play it safe and exit early, or hold the line and fade the seasonal blues?
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