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News

Gold prices rise after 3 weeks of decline

News

Kroger shares fall despite Q1 sales beat

News

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JPY gains versus USD on strong trade data

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US dollar gains ahead of central bank meetings

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Gold surges after US-Iran peace deal

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Asset Watch

Short PepsiCo to hedge volatility?

Thursday, April 27, 2023

Bonds and the U.S. dollar rallied as volatility struck the financial markets on Apr. 25. With risk-off sentiment fuelling the pair, it’s no surprise the S&P 500 suffered mightily.
S&P 500 seasonality could soon turn bearish, while VIX seasonality turns bullish, so the calm seas of April might give way to choppy waters in May. As a result, despite PepsiCo’s defensive nature, shorting the stock could act as a worthwhile hedge.
PepsiCo outperformed analysts’ revenue and EPS estimates on Apr. 25, and CEO Ramon Laguarta said, “Given our strong start to the year, we now expect our full-year 2023 organic revenue to increase 8% (previously 6%) and core constant currency EPS to increase 9% (previously 8%).”
Pepsico Stock Chart Trading View

However, even though the fundamentals remain constructive, the technicals support a short-term pullback. For example, the upward-sloping grey line shows how PepsiCo has recorded higher highs and higher lows since early 2021. But volatility has been present along the way.

And when PepsiCo has run too far too fast over the last 24+ months, it often retraces back toward its rising support line. Likewise, the blue line represents PepsiCo’s 75-week moving average, and the key level has also acted as support. On top of that, PepsiCo’s weekly RSI is at its highest level since January 2022.

So, with the beverage giant on pace for its sixth weekly gain in seven weeks, could betting on gravity be a wise endeavour?


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