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Weekly Market Preview

Week Ahead Preview:
16th of June

 

Friday, 13 June 2025

This week, markets are focused on a series of key economic data releases and interest rate decisions from major central banks.

Among the most anticipated events are economic forecasts, interest rate decision, and the Federal Reserve’s press conference. According to Bloomberg estimates, the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.5%, maintaining its “wait and see” approach until the potential impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy becomes clearer.

Investors will pay close attention to the Fed Chair’s press conference, which is expected to offer more insight into monetary policy, possibly the reasoning behind the projected number of rate cuts reflected in the Fed’s dot plot map.
Traders are also awaiting the release of the UK Consumer Price Index report for May. Bloomberg forecasts suggest that the YoY inflation rate could edge up from 3.5% in April to 3.6% in May. Persistently high inflation remains a key challenge for the Bank of England and lowers the likelihood of a near-term rate cut. Strong inflation data would further diminish chances of a rate cut in upcoming meetings.

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is also set to meet this week to decide on interest rates. With inflation still elevated and well above the 2% target, the Central Bank is expected to keep rates unchanged at 4.25%. Market watchers will be analysing the committee’s voting breakdown to gauge how many members support a rate cut. A higher number of pro-cut votes could increase the likelihood of future action, especially if accompanied by a meaningful drop in inflation.

Economic Data Highlights (UAE time)

 

Monday, 16th of June  

  • CNY- Industrial production & unemployment rate (May)
  • OPEC monthly report

Tuesday, 17th of June 

  • BoJ – rate decision & press conference
  • EUR- Zew Economic sentiment (Jun)
  • USD- Retail Sales (May)
  • USD- Industrial & Manufacturing production (May)

Wednesday, 18th of June

  • GBP- Inflation rates (May)
  • EUR- Inflation rates (May)
  • USD- Housing starts (May)
  • US oil inventories
  • Fed economic projections, rate decision and press conference

Thursday, 19th of June

  • NZD- Gross Domestic Product (Q1)
  • NZD- Unemployment rate (May)
  • AUD- Employment change and unemployment rate (May)
  • BoE rate decision

Friday, 20th of June

  • JPY- inflation rate (May)
  • PBoC rate decision
  • CAD- Retail sales (Apr)

 

 

 


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