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The monthly Nonfarm Payrolls report, released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, reveals the number of new jobs created during the previous month in all non-agricultural businesses. The changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile due to their high relation with economic policy decisions made by the Federal Reserve.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are a significant economic indicator in the United States, reflecting the total number of paid U.S. workers of any business, excluding the following employees: government employees, private household employees, employees of nonprofit organizations, and farm employees.
The monthly changes in payroll data can have substantial short-term impacts on the forex markets, particularly the value of the U.S. dollar relative to other currencies, such as the EURUSD pair, and actual values beating the consensus tend to be bullish for USD.
If we look at the historical forecast and actual values for the Nonfarm Payrolls and compare them with the actual movement of EURUSD in the next hour, we can see that in the vast majority of cases the currency pair behaved according to the above expectations.