Account
New to ADSS? Open an
account now to get started.
Already have an account?
Add funds to your ADSS account
Account
New to ADSS? Open an
account now to get started.
Add funds to your ADSS account
Asset Watch
Wednesday, 10 September 2025
Markets are focused on the upcoming US CPI data for August, one of the most important releases ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on September 17. Inflation is expected to show a notable increase, largely driven by higher commodity prices following the tariffs imposed by President Trump on US trading partners in early August. Commodities make up about 20% of the inflation basket.
That said, other factors could offset this pressure, including easing housing costs (which account for more than 30% of the inflation basket), lower energy prices, and declining wage growth.
Alongside CPI, investors will also be watching the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for September. Sentiment is expected to weaken further as higher commodity prices weigh on consumers’ purchasing power.
The European Central Bank is widely expected to leave rates unchanged at 2%, following recent Governing Council comments favoring a wait-and-see approach, after the trade agreement with the US that avoided a trade war between both sides.
Supporting this stance is the slight rise in annual inflation (from 2.0% in July to 2.1% in August) which does not yet justify further rate cuts.
Investors will closely follow the ECB President’s press conference, scheduled 30 minutes after the decision, for insights into whether the rate-cutting cycle has ended and if policy has reached a neutral level, or whether more cuts remain possible before year-end.
Since July 24, EUR/USD has corrected its earlier uptrend and entered a sideways move, forming lower highs and higher lows. The pair has repeatedly failed to close below the 1.1570 –1.1860 trading zone, suggesting a potential move toward the high end of the mentioned zone.
A daily close above 1.1860 would suggest a bullish resumption, possibly toward 1.2113. in this case the psychological resistance level at 1.2000 should be monitored.
A successful daily close below 1.1570 could shift momentum toward the downside, potentially towards 1.1176. In this scenario, support levels at 1.1510 and 1.1344 should be closely watched.
Chart Source: ADSS Platform
ADSS
8th floor, CI Tower
Corniche Road
PO Box 93894
Abu Dhabi
United Arab Emirates
Trading Services
ts@adss.com
+971 2 657 2414
Investing in CFDs involves a high degree of risk that you will lose your money due to the use of leverage, particularly in fast moving markets, where a relatively small movement in the price can lead to a proportionately larger movement in the value of your investment. This can result in loses that exceed the funds in your account. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and you should seek independent advice if necessary.
ADS Securities L.L.C – S.P.C (“ADSS”), a limited liability company – sole proprietorship company incorporated under United Arab Emirates law. Registered under Commercial License No.1190047. ADS Securities L.L.C S.P.C is regulated and authorised in the UAE by the Capital Market Authority (CMA) under Category 1 License No.305027 (Trading Broker, Trading and Clearing Broker, Trading Broker in the International Markets, Trading Broker of OTC Derivatives and Currencies in the Spot Market, Financial Products Dealer) and Category 5 License No.20200000217 (Introduction). Registered Office: 8th Floor, CI Tower, Corniche Road, P.O. Box 93894, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
The information presented is not directed at residents of any particular country outside the United Arab Emirates and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country where the distribution or use is contrary to local law or regulation.
ADSS is an execution only service provider and does not provide advice. ADSS may publish general market commentary from time to time. Where it does, the material published does not constitute advice, or a solicitation, or a recommendation to a transaction in any financial instrument. ADSS accepts no responsibility for any use of the content presented and any consequences of that use. No representation or warranty is given as to the completeness of this information. Anyone acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
