Weekly Market Preview
Friday, 7 November 2025
Markets are expecting a relatively quiet week in terms of major economic data releases. The key focus in the UK will be the preliminary Q3 GDP reading. UK GDP grew by 1.4% year-on-year in Q2, and according to Bloomberg forecasts, the economy is expected to expand by 1.3% in Q3.
Attention this week will also turn to the U.S. Consumer Price Index for October. Bloomberg projects that core inflation (excluding food and energy) will remain unchanged at 3.0%, while headline inflation may edge slightly higher from 3.0% to 3.1%.
It is worth noting that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its last meeting.However, the Fed Chair signalled that another rate cut at the upcoming meeting is not guaranteed. This prompted markets to reassess expectations, with the implied probability of a cut dropping from more than 90% to 62%, according to CME data. As a result, the U.S. dollar strengthened while risk assets, particularly U.S. equity indices retreated.
If U.S. inflation comes in higher than expected, it may increase policymakers’ concerns about inflation risks, making them more cautious about easing policy at the next meeting. This would likely support further dollar strength.
However, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has lasted for over a month, may prevent the release of CPI and other government-issued economic data until federal agencies resume operations.
Tuesday, 11th of Nov
Wednesday, 12th of Nov
Thursday, 13th of Nov
Friday, 14th of Nov