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Trends & Analysis
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Trends & Analysis
News

Week Ahead Preview: 22nd of April

News

P&G shares rise despite Q3 sales miss

News

Gold continues to shine amid geopolitical worries

News

Crude oil dips for 3rd session after supply data

News

Is there an AI upside for AMD?

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GBP/USD recovers following wage report

Weekly Market Preview

Week Ahead Preview:

11th of September

 

Monday, Sep 11, 2023

This week will be highly important for investors due to a slew of important economic data releases and updates from major central banks. One of the key data points, is the US inflation report for August. This data will have a direct impact on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions at the upcoming US Open Market Committee meeting.

Market expectations suggest that the CPI headline is likely to rise from 3.2% in July to 3.6% in August, primarily driven by the increase in energy prices. However, core inflation levels, which exclude energy and food items, are expected to decline from 4.7% in July to 4.3% in August. Therefore, any higher-than-expected data could reflect positively on the value of the US dollar, as it increases the odds for higher interest rates in the coming months. Additionally, investors will closely scrutinize US retail sales data for August to assess the impact of high interest rates on consumer spending. The US Producer Price Index data for August will also be of interest, as it can provide insights into the future trajectory of US inflation.

Concurrently, the market will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision. This decision holds considerable significance as it reflects the ECB’s commitment to addressing high inflation levels in Europe. Given the performance of European economies and a decline in the purchasing managers’ indices for both the industrial and service sectors, investors are anticipating the ECB to maintain interest rates at their current levels. If the ECB were to surprise the markets by raising interest rates, it could lead to an appreciation of the euro against other major currencies.

 

Economic Data Highlights

 

Monday 11th of September
  • BoE MPC member Mann speech
Tuesday 12th of September
  • GBP- Average Earning Index (Jul)
  • GBP- Unemployment rate (Jul)
  • EUR- Zew Economic sentiment (Germany-Sep)
  • OPEC monthly report
Wednesday 13th of September
  • GBP- GDP (Jul)
  • GBP- Industrial & Manufacturing Production (Jul)
  • USD- Inflation rates (Aug)
  • US crude oil inventories
Thursday 14th of September
  • AUD – Unemployment rates (Aug)
  • JPY- Industrial Production (Jul)
  • ECB interest Rates decision and press conference
  • USD- PPI (Aug)
  • USD- Retail Sales (Aug)
Friday 15th of September
  • CNY- Industrial Production (Aug)
  • ECB President Lagarde’s speech
  • USD- Industrial Production (Aug)

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