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Trends & Analysis
News

Week Ahead Preview: 22nd of April

News

P&G shares rise despite Q3 sales miss

News

Gold continues to shine amid geopolitical worries

News

Crude oil dips for 3rd session after supply data

News

Is there an AI upside for AMD?

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GBP/USD recovers following wage report

Trends & Analysis
News

Week Ahead Preview: 22nd of April

News

P&G shares rise despite Q3 sales miss

News

Gold continues to shine amid geopolitical worries

News

Crude oil dips for 3rd session after supply data

News

Is there an AI upside for AMD?

News

GBP/USD recovers following wage report

Weekly Market Preview

Week Ahead Preview:

16th of October

 

Friday, Oct 13, 2023

The US inflation data for September, just released, carries two vital messages for the markets. Firstly, core inflation levels on a monthly and yearly basis, excluding the volatility of oil and food prices, were in line with expectations. This suggests that the current interest rate levels might effectively guide inflation back towards the 2% target, making an immediate rate hike in the upcoming Fed meeting potentially unnecessary. Secondly, the CPI headline levels displayed a strong dependency on oil prices, indicating that if oil rates revert to June levels, the main inflation index could drop below the 3% threshold.

Looking ahead to this week, the market is anticipating further inflation data releases from major economies, including the Eurozone, UK, and Canada. These figures will provide insight into whether central bank rates in these regions have peaked or if there might be further adjustments. Investors will closely monitor speeches by Federal Reserve members scheduled for this week, as they are expected to provide valuable insights into the central bank’s long-term policy stance. This includes their expectations regarding a “soft landing” or efforts to avoid a recession. Additionally, investors are eager to understand the Federal Reserve’s perspective on possible rate cuts in the upcoming year.

 

Economic Data Highlights

 

Monday 16th of October
  • JPY- Industrial Production (Aug)
  • Fed member speech Mr Haker
Tuesday 17th of October
  • NZD- Inflation Rates (Q3)
  • RBNZ minutes
  • GBP- Unemployment Rates (Aug)
  • EUR- Zew Business Climate (Oct)
  • Fed Bowman and Willaims speeches
  • USD- Retail Sales (Sep)
  • CAD- Inflation Rates (Sep)
Wednesday 18th of October
  • CNY- GDP (Q3)
  • CNY- Industrial Production (Sep)
  • GBP- Inflation Rates (Sep)
  • EUR- Inflation Rates (Sep)
  • USD- Housing starts & Building Permits (Sep)
  • Fed Harker speech
  • US Oil inventories
Thursday 19th of October
  • AUD- Unemployment Rates (Sep)
  • USD- Existing Home Sales (Sep)
  • Fed Chair Powell speech
Friday 20th of October 
  • Fed Harker speech
  • JPY- Inflation Rates (Sep)
  • GBP- Retail Sales (Sep)
  • EUR- Producer Price Index (Germany- Sep)
  • CAD- Retail Sales (Aug)

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