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Trends & Analysis
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Gold continues to shine amid geopolitical worries

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Crude oil dips for 3rd session after supply data

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Trends & Analysis
News

Gold continues to shine amid geopolitical worries

News

Crude oil dips for 3rd session after supply data

News

Is there an AI upside for AMD?

News

GBP/USD recovers following wage report

News

Buy the JPMorgan dip?

News

Goldman Sachs shares surge after earnings beat

Weekly Market Preview

Week Ahead Preview:

25th of September

 

Monday, Sep 25, 2023

After a busy economic calendar last week, investors are expected to start the week at a slower pace. Their primary focus will be on speeches by central bank members, from which they hope to gather hints about the monetary policy direction for 2024, particularly regarding the potential timing for easing the current tight policy. Additionally, the markets will eagerly await the Eurozone’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for September and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for August.

The recent FOMC meeting delivered a significant message, signaling a high likelihood of another 25-basis point rate hike in 2023. This was indicated in the dot plot during the September meeting. Moreover, there was an implicit acknowledgment of the possibility of a “hard landing” scenario. The Federal Reserve chair refrained from explicitly stating an expectation of a soft landing for the US economy during his remarks last Wednesday. However, he mentioned that it was “possible,” reiterating that achieving a soft landing remains the Fed’s primary objective.

Looking ahead, this week will feature more speeches by Fed officials, providing a platform for them to elaborate on their perspectives regarding the performance of the US economy, with more clarity about whether the anticipated rate hike may occur in November or December or not occurring at all.

 

Economic Data Highlights

 

Monday 25th of September
  • ECB president Lagarde’s speech
Tuesday 26th of September
  • Fed Mr. Kashkari’s speech
  • USD- Consumer confidence (Sep)
  • USD- New home sales (Aug)
  • Fed Ms. Bowman speech
Wednesday  27th of September
  • EUR- GfK business climate (Germany-Oct)
  • USD- Durable goods orders (Aug)
  • Crude oil inventories
Thursday 28th of September
  • AUD – Retail sales (Aug)
  • EUR- Inflation rates (Germany-Sep)
  • USD- GDP(Q2)
Friday 29th of September
  • Fed Chair Powell speech
  • JPY- Inflation rates (Sep)
  • GBP- GDP (Q2)
  • ECB Ms Lagarde speech
  • EUR- Inflation rates (Sep)
  • USD- PCE (Aug)
  • CAD- GDP (Jul)
  • USD- Michigan Consumer Expectations (Sep)
  • Fed Mr. Willams speech

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