Weekly Market Preview
Friday, 24th of January 2025
Markets are gearing up for a pivotal week filled with significant economic events and data, including interest rate decisions from the US, Canada, and Europe.
In the United States, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee is set to convene to vote on the US interest rate decision. It is expected that the committee could maintain the current rate, supported by December’s strong labour market data, which showed an increase in jobs added compared to the previous month, a drop in unemployment to 4.1%, and a slight decline in core inflation from 3.3% in November to 3.2% in December. Markets will closely monitor Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into monetary policy, especially in light of the potential impact of President Trump’s economic policies.
In Canada, the Bank of Canada is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points. Investors will pay close attention to the BoC press conference for insights about the central bank’s forward policy. This comes amid concerns over the possibility of the US imposing a 25% tariff on Canadian exports. Canada could respond with similar tariffs on US goods, which might drive up inflation and restrict the Bank of Canada’s ability to implement further rate cuts.
In Europe, the European Central Bank is also anticipated to cut interest rates by 25 basis points during its upcoming meeting. However, the focus will be on ECB President Christine Lagarde’s speech, as markets seek clarity on the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory. A potential trade war with the United States looms, with President Trump considering a 10% tariff on European exports. In response, the European Union may impose retaliatory tariffs on American goods, potentially driving European inflation above the 2% target. Such developments could slow down the ECB’s pace to reduce interest rates further.
Monday, 27th of January
Tuesday, 28th of January
Wednesday, 29th of January
Thursday, 30th of January
Friday, 31th of January