Weekly Market Preview
Monday, Oct 02, 2023
An agreement has been reached between the American Republican and Democratic parties, effectively averting a government shutdown. President Biden signed the law on Saturday evening, ensuring that the government will remain operational until the 17th of November. Notably, this agreement did not include any aid to Ukraine. However, the Democrats have committed to helping through a separate bill distinct from the government budget.
This week, the market’s focus will be the speeches by heads of major central banks. Investors will closely listen to these speeches, paying particular attention to any indications regarding the central banks’ tolerance for elevated levels of inflation without hiking rates further and whether they could wait for inflation to decline at a gradual pace, considering the prevailing interest rate environment.
Furthermore, towards the end of this week, the US jobs data for September is scheduled to be released. Projections suggest a potential decrease in job additions by the US economy, dropping from 187,000 jobs added in August to an estimated 163,000 jobs in September. Any lower-than-expected data could lead inflation even lower and provide room for the Federal Reserve to reconsider the anticipated 25-basis point interest rate hike penciled in the FOMC November meeting.