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Dow jumps 900+ points on Iran deal prospects

Trends & Analysis
News

Kroger shares fall despite Q1 sales beat

News

Brent crude falls below $80 on US-Iran peace deal

News

JPY gains versus USD on strong trade data

News

US dollar gains ahead of central bank meetings

News

Gold surges after US-Iran peace deal

News

Dow jumps 900+ points on Iran deal prospects

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Weekly Market Preview

Week Ahead Preview:
4th of August

 

Friday, 1 August 2025

This week, traders will follow the release of the final ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for the U.S. for July. The index is expected to remain in expansion territory, rising from 50.8 to 51. A better-than-expected reading would signal improved economic activity, supporting GDP growth. Given the services sector’s significant contribution to the U.S. economy, such an outcome would reflect rising demand and improved corporate performance.

Attention will shift to the European Retail Sales numbers, which track changes in consumer spending (a key driver of growth in domestic-oriented economies such as the European economy).

Markets expect the YoY retail sales growth to edge up from 1.8% to 1.9%. Any stronger-than-expected result would point to improved consumer confidence and higher spending, which would support corporate earnings and reinforce broader growth prospects.

Later this week, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will meet to announce its interest rate decision. Investors expect a third rate cut this year, with a 25-basis point reduction from 4.25% to 4.00%. Markets will pay close attention to the committee’s vote distribution, which will reveal the degree of support for further easing. A strong consensus in favour of a cut (especially amid continued disinflation) could reinforce expectations of additional rate reductions at future meetings.

 

Economic Data Highlights (UAE time)

 

Monday, 4th of Aug

  • Bank holiday in the UK and Canada
  • CHF- Inflation rates (Jul)
  • CHF- Manufacturing PMI (Jul)

Tuesday, 5th of Aug

  • CNY- Services PMI (Jul)
  • EUR- Services PMI (Jul)
  • GBP- Services PMI (Jul)
  • USD- ISM Services PMI (Jul)

Wednesday, 6th of Aug

  • Fed Daly speech
  • US Crude inventories

Thursday, 7th of Aug

  • GBP- House Price Index (Jul)
  • BoE rate decision & Governor Bailey speech

Friday, 8th of Aug

  • CAD- Employment change and unemployment rate (Jul)

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