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Trends & Analysis
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Trends & Analysis
News

PepsiCo posts earnings beat, but misses on sales

News

Crude oil spikes after US inventories data

News

Risks on the horizon for the S&P 500?

News

GBP/USD retreats after hitting 1-month high

News

US dollar recovers from last week’s losses

News

Should you own Meta Platforms or Alphabet?

Weekly Market Preview

Week Ahead Preview:

9th of October

 

Friday, Oct 06, 2023

This week, markets are bracing for a relatively light data schedule, but the but the significance of the data is paramount. All eyes on the release of US inflation figures of September, with particular attention on core inflation, which excludes energy and food items due to their susceptibility to global supply and demand dynamics.

Projections suggest that US core CPI is expected to decrease from 0.6% in August to 0.3% in September, with the core CPI YoY dropping from 4.3% to 4.1%. any lower than expected read reflects an effective inflation management by the Federal Reserve and could potentially lead to a delay in the anticipated 25bps interest rate hike scheduled for the November meeting. Furthermore, the US headline CPI levels are forecasted to decline from 3.7% in August to 3.6% in September.

Investors will be closely monitoring speeches by Federal Reserve members scheduled for this week. These addresses will provide valuable perspectives on the central bank’s long-term policy stance, especially regarding their expectations for the “soft landing” or the avoidance of a recession. Investors are also eager to gain an understanding of the Federal Reserve’s outlook of the possible rate cuts in the coming year. These insights will play a pivotal role in shaping market expectations and influencing trading decisions in the near future.

 

Economic Data Highlights

 

Monday 9th of October
  • Bank holiday in the US and Canada
Tuesday 10th of October
  • Fed Waller and Kashkari speeches
Wednesday 11th of October
  • Fed Bowman speech
  • EUR- Inflation rates (Germany- Sep)
  • USD- PPI (Sep)
  • FOMC minutes
Thursday 12th of October
  • GBP- GDP (Aug)
  • GBP- Industrial production (Aug)
  • USD- Inflation rates (Sep)
  • OPEC monthly report
Friday 13th of October 
  • CNY- Inflation rate (Sep)
  • BoE Governor Bailey speech
  • EUR- Industrial production (Aug)
  • Fed Harker speech
  • ECB president Lagarde’s

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