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Week Ahead Preview: 12th of May

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Trends & Analysis
News

GBP/USD Price may Slide Further

News

Dow surges over 1,100 points on US-China agreement

News

Asian stocks rise amid trade talk optimism

News

Week Ahead Preview: 12th of May

News

Crude oil surges on US-China trade talks

News

Gold Price May Correct Lower Amid Fed’s Cautious Approach

Asset Watch

A bullish breakout or a double top for the S&P 500?

Tuesday May 7, 2024

It’s been a wild few weeks for the S&P 500, as geopolitics and rising Treasury yields fostered fears of an economic slowdown. But with the FOMC announcing it will reduce its quantitative tightening (QT) program by $35 billion and several Big Tech juggernauts passing their earnings tests, sighs turned to celebrations as the S&P 500 clawed back a meaningful chunk of its recent losses.
However, with the pressure to perform poised to intensify in the days ahead, it could be a heavyweight fight to determine whether the bulls or bears regain control.
The May 3 surge helped the S&P 500 close above its late April highs, yet the index could not recoup its 50-day moving average. If it stalls here, the pattern could look a lot like a bear flag.

The recent price action also resembles the run-up to the correction that unfolded in late 2023. Back then, a sharp rally gave way to a breakdown below the 50-day MA, and after some consolidation, the area between the 50 and 100-day MAs kept narrowing until the S&P 500 sunk below both.
This time around, the price action on the right side of the chart shows how the 50 and 100-day MAs continue to converge, and the gap will shrink the longer the index remains below the 50-day MA. As a result, you should pay close attention to the 50-day MA and maintain a cautious outlook until the index showcases sustainable strength above the key level.
So, will the bulls prevail and recoup the 50-day MA, or could the bears reprise their roles from late 2023?


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