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Trends & Analysis
News

GBP/USD holds close to multi-year highs

News

Is Apple approaching a major move?

News

US dollar dips on inflation data, Yen surges

News

Week Ahead Preview: 30th of September

News

Micron’s shares soar almost 15% on profit beat

News

Crude oil dips after spiking on Tuesday

Asset Watch

Will mighty Microsoft build on its 2024 gains?

Thursday May 23, 2024

The AI revolution went mainstream this week, as Microsoft kicked off its Build developer conference on May 21. Thanks to a massive installed user base due to the adoption of its Windows PC products, Wedbush analysts expect the computing giant to “flex its AI muscles,” resulting in new Copilot and AI features that boost future subscriptions.
“We expect a heavy focus on Azure and Microsoft’s AI enterprise endeavours which along with OpenAI are leading the path on this AI Revolution,” the analysts said. “This is just the first phase playing out with a major missing piece in this AI puzzle coming from Microsoft.”
Product launches are often a bullish catalyst for higher revenue and earnings expectations, so could Microsoft price in more optimism for the back half of 2024?

Adhering to the old saying, ‘If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it,’ sometimes simplicity is the most effective trading strategy. For example, Microsoft’s 20-week moving average has been a solid momentum indicator for the last several years. The price action highlights how when Microsoft trades above the blue line, a long position is justified, and when breakdowns occur, patience is prudent.
As a result, the bulls continue to defend the key level with the stock closing above the 20-week MA for four straight weeks (despite some intraweek breakdowns). And if it continues, the constructive technicals should support higher prices, as they have since 2018.
So, will Microsoft’s Build conference create the next fundamental catalyst that supports bullish technicals, or will product disappointments flip both upside down?


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